KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

Spring temperatures have returned to the area courtesy of southerly winds coming in from the Gulf.  Tonight will be about 10-15 degrees milder than last night with clouds increasing by daybreak.  A weakening frontal boundary will approach the region and become nearly stationary over the next few days.  A series of relatively weak upper disturbances should help to produce scattered showers and possibly a few thunderstorms through midweek. 

 

Rain chances should decrease slightly Thursday, but bounce back up for Friday.  Right now we’ll go with a not-so-bad weekend forecast with warm conditions continuing.  Rain chances should return above normal for early next week.  Temperature-wise look for highs in the mid-upper 70s to lower 80s, while overnight lows moderate into the sticky low-mid 60s.

 

Rob Perillo

The work week will begin with partly cloudy skies and highs in the mid 70s. A great way to start but then the temperatures go up as well as the rain chances through the week. A weakening low pressure system is moving quickly across the plains. Now the front is occluding as a result of the cold front progressing quicker than the warm front. The cold front overtakes the warm air and forces both the cold and warm air to rise. As the low pressure system continues to move to the east, it will drag a front that will stall before making it to Acadiana. Ahead of the front we will see our best chance of showers on Wednesday. Severe weather is not expected at the time with this system. Spring will make a comeback in a big way with highs in the 80s by Friday.

Enjoy your weekend!
Kari Hall

Your Sunday will be as nice as today. The only change will we the wind shift. Winds will be northerly in the morning and southeasterly in the evening. That will mean warmer temperatures and more humidity advecting in from the Gulf. Monday will be pleasant but a tad bit warmer with highs in the mid 70s and lows in the mid 50s. There will be a slight chance of showers Monday night with our increase in moisture and approaching cold front. Upper level disturbances will also help the possibility of showers sparking off through the rest of the week. Temperatures will continue to warm until that front finally pushes through.

Enjoy your Sunday!
Kari Hall

It appears that winter’s last hurrah will be melting away with the sun this weekend…but it’s still going to be cool, with temperatures below normal through Monday morning. A slow moderating trend will become more substantial into next week with highs reaching well into the 70s by mid-week. Scattered showers are expected from Tuesday through Friday with rain chances best on Thursday (today I’m going 50% for Thursday, but as we get closer to the day the chances should increase). The storms on Thursday could be “healthy” as well.

If everything times out right we should be in for another stellar weekend and that’s no April fool! In addition, our clocks spring forward 1 hour next Saturday night, April 1st into the 2nd.

Have a good weekend.

Rob Perillo

Okay…we got some grief today as the rains came in a good 12 hours ahead of schedule while the disturbance was much larger and more drawn out than the models and us forecasters were anticipating. That’s what makes forecasting for this area a challenge…not as much fun though when we get complaints! As always, busted forecasts are humbling experiences. But as an ex-Air Force forecaster that I worked with in Houston at Air Routing International said, “I never make a bad forecast…given all the information available the forecast I make is the best possible…on seldom occasion it may, however, be an inaccurate one!” …Roger Graham.

Off the soapbox and into the forecast headline: “Winter Makes a Comeback!” Our temperatures will be running close to 15 degrees below normal through Saturday morning, with a moderating trend thereafter. Temperatures tomorrow night will be near 40, but it will be the wind chill that will get us. The record cold temperature for Saturday morning is 35 degrees, which we may get very close to, so keep the new gardens warm!

The scattered rains tonight will move out tomorrow morning followed by some breaks, but in and out stratiform clouds may make a return for tomorrow evening. Friday, Saturday and Sunday should be nice and sunny so enjoy the cool weather now because in 6-8 weeks we’ll be pushing 90!

Rob Perillo

It will continue to get cooler over the next few days with mostly fair conditions into the weekend. There will be a quick moving upper disturbance however, that will bring clouds in tomorrow afternoon and scattered light rains tomorrow night with activity ending Thursday morning. Skies should clear by late Thursday but there will be a winter chill through Saturday morning. Daytime highs will run 10 degrees subnormal for highs and 10-15 degrees below normal for Thursday night/Friday morning and Friday night/Saturday morning. It will definitely feel more like January or February rather than late March late this week!

The National Weather Service is promoting flood awareness. Outside of the tropical winds and surge that threaten us each year, perhaps a greater issue for us can be flooding rains…it has happened in the past and will likely happen in the future. Tonight on our 10pm newscast I’ll start with some rainfall records for the area.

Rob Perillo