Our typical summer weather (and it has certainly been more typical this month) will continue as we head into a new month. Scattered afternoon showers and storms will remain in the forecast with the possibility of enhanced rain chances this weekend and possibly into early next week. The computer models have been indicating a tropical wave/disturbance should be responsible for the higher rain chances this weekend, but it is unclear whether the models are capturing an upper low north of Hispaniola or a tropical disturbance approaching the Northeastern Caribbean. Time will tell.Â
The aforementioned area of disturbed weather approaching the Caribbean broke off from the strong tropical wave that we started watching last week. The wave stay too far to the south for cyclonic development until today when the southern portion of the wave fizzled while the northern part began moving west-northwestward and appeared to have an area of low pressure attached to it on the western side of the wave. Recon will investigate this system tomorrow if satellite representation remains healthy…and I think it will.Â
Rob Perillo