KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

KATC StormTeam 3 Weather BLOG

Archive for the ‘Cold’ Category

So…You Think It Was A Cold Winter???

leave a comment

winter0910Your thinking is right!  The winter of 2009-10 had a number of events.  From the earliest measurable snowfall on record in December, to the deep freeze in early January, and the 6th coldest February on record with another measurable snow.  The El Nino pattern was in full swing this winter as system after system rolled up the Texas coast with plenty of rain, clouds, and too many dreary gray days to count.  Even though it is now March, we still can’t seem to shake the cold, or the rain.  I, like many others are anxious for Spring to get here!

Let’s start with temperatures.  Overall the winter was colder than average.  When you take the 90 days of climatological winter (December, January, February), the average temperature is about 53.8 degrees.  This number comes from averaging all of the normal highs and lows for those months.  This winter we finished at 49.0 degrees.  Almost 4 degrees below normal, which is pretty significant for a three month average.  In south Louisiana we don’t have any average highs that are below 60 degrees, but this year we failed to reach a 60 degree high  52 times!  In fact only 26 of the 90 days did we have an above average temperature day!  We dropped below the freezing mark 17 times this winter, compared to only 7 times last winter.  We had almost as many days below freezing this winter as we’ve had for the past three!  There weren’t any breaks this year either.  We’ll go warm, then cold, then warm again in a normal winter.  When I’m talking about breaks, I mean a day where it hits 70 or higher.  Over the past 10 years, we’ve hit 70 degrees about 33 times on average.  This year, only 17.  80 degrees?  Forget about it…last winter we hit 80 once, this year..0!  By the way, February 2010 was tied for the 6th coldest February on record.  Only 2 days were at or above average.  The average temperature was 47.4 degrees, normal is 54.3.  We had 6 days in January where we dropped into the 20s.  The lowest temp of the winter…20 degrees on January 10th, sandwiched in between a pair of 21s on the 9th and the 11th.  And you wonder why everything is brown outside!

Snow…Twice this winter.  December 4th and February 12th.  We’ve had two snows in one winter before, but never three.  I was really hoping to break that record last week, but the snow never came.  December 4th we picked up 0.5″ of snow, and on February 12th we picked up 0.4″.

Rain…Above normal for the winter.  A total of 18.62″, or a little over 3″ above.  We had over 10″ of rain in December, almost 6″ in February.  We caught a break in January with only 2.02″.  Probably because the first 10 days of January were so cold that the air couldn’t hold any moisture!

March is coming in like a lion with the rain, and eventually this afternoon the wind.  It should be cloudy tomorrow, with sunshine returning Wednesday and holding for the rest of the week.  Temperatures aren’t expected to climb to normal until late this weekend when we might hit 70 on Sunday.

66372_G

StormTeam3 Meteorologist Dave Baker

Good Morning Acadiana-Weekdays 5-7am

weather@katctv.com

 

Written by Dave Baker

March 1st, 2010 at 12:25 pm

Posted in Cold, Snowfall, Weather, Winter

Miserable Winter Rain For Most Of Us!

leave a comment

Soaking wet and raw!  That’s the way it will go for much of the night ahead with several inches of rain likely for most of us.  Temperatures will likely hover in the mid-upper 30s through the night and much of the day Friday.  The National Weather Serviceis maintaining the Winter Weather Advisory through tomorrow morning for northern portions of Acadiana including Allen, Evangeline, and St. Landry Parishes.  The rain may mix with some sleet or snow well after midnight across northern Allen, Evangeline and St Landry Parishes with slushy accumulations of less than an inch possible but surface temperatures should stay above the freezing mark so I am not expecting and travel issues locally.  Farther north accumulated snow, mainly on grassy areas and trees will be possible toward morning from Central Louisiana northward and eastward. A wet snow accumulation is possible across Rapides and Avoyelles parishes of 1-2″ with locally up to 2-4″ possible in the central and northern part of the Bayou state.  Snow totals are forecasted by the NWS in Slidellto reach up to 4-7″ in localized areas across Southwestern Mississippi!  Farther south (for the rest of us) expect almost all rain with a brief possible mix as the precipitation diminishes very early Friday morning.  At this point we are not anticipating any hazardous travel in Acadiana, but elsewhere in the state could very well be another story.  Stay with KATC for the latest as conditions could change.  We’ll have a full update at 10pm and live coverage tomorrow morning on Good Morning Acadiana…that’s when it may be interesting!

Written by Rob Perillo

February 11th, 2010 at 7:53 pm

Posted in Cold

It’s Still Winter!!!

leave a comment

Surface Forecast Map for Wednesday February 10 2010A sharp cold front will usher in winter-like temperatures back into Acadiana early Tuesday morning.  Highs Wednesday may not make it out of the 40s despite sunshine returning by the afternoon.  It will be dry in New Orleans too for Tuesday afternoon/evening for the Saints Parade but dress warmly as temperatures will stay in the 40s accompanied by a blustery northwest wind.  Temperatures will likely drop to near or below the freezing mark in Acadiana for Wednesday morning so it’s time again to tend to the tender vegetation.  Wednesday will be cool, partly sunny and dry, but clouds will be increasing late in the day.  It will get interesting Thursday as a quick-developing storm system will likely bring cold rains to the area.  This may bring winter weather conditions to the northern part of the state and as close as Central Louisiana at the onset of the precipitation and perhaps when things wind down Thursday night.  If the track of the developing surface low goes farther south than is currently forecast we could see a forecast tilted to some sort of wintry mix.  Right now though we’ll go with very chilly rains with at least 1-2″ of rain possible…if not maybe a little more.  In the wake of Thursday’s system cold and dry weather should follow that will likely carry us through much of the Mardi Gras holiday weekend.  Showers could return though for Fat Tuesday…so stay tuned to KATC for that, updates on the weather system tonight, and then for the one on Thursday…as always the forecast is subject to change!

Written by Rob Perillo

February 8th, 2010 at 7:55 pm

Posted in Cold, Rainfall, Weather

Freezing Weekend…Milder Next Week…Big Gulf Storm Late Next Week

2 comments

As expected arctic air will stay entrenched across the region through the weekend with lows for Saturday and Sunday morning in the upper teens to lower 20s.  Wind chills will again be in the 8-14 degree range Saturday morning but winds will be less of an issue for Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Sunny skies will make it feel a little better this weekend with highs in the upper 30s Saturday and mid-40s Sunday.  One more hard freeze is in the offing for Monday morning then a gradual moderating trend is expected through the middle part of next week.  It looks to get on the wet and stormy side later next week as the long range models have been consistent in indicating a whopper of a storm in the Gulf for the 15th.  So next week we will say goodbye to the arctic air and say hello again to an active weather pattern.

Written by Rob Perillo

January 8th, 2010 at 6:43 pm

Posted in Cold, Weather

The Frigid Air Update…

2 comments

No major changes to the ongoing forecast other than the amount of cloud cover that we are going to see tomorrow.  After some brief clear tonight high clouds will invade with an upper trough approaching from the northwest.  These high clouds will not only be thick enough to dull the sun, but may take any meager solar heating away from us Friday.  Therefore there is a chance that temperatures may not got much above freezing tomorrow…and if so it will only be a few degrees.  So there is the possibility that instead of staying below freezing for 12-15 hours we could see sub-freezing temperatures for more than 36 hours straight.  This will certainly lead to pipe-busting issues for some folks who aren’t properly prepared for this arctic outbreak.  You may recall the arctic outbreak just before Christmas 1989…temperatures during this outbreak stayed below freezing for more than 72 hours with lows on successive nights at 15, 9 and 11 degrees (22nd-24th).  We shouldn’t be that cold with this outbreak but some records will be threatened, especially Saturday morning.  The record for tomorrow morning is 21 in 1942 (should be safe), 21 in 1962 for Saturday (in jeopardy) and14 for Sunday (should be safe).  Stay with KATC and katc.com for the latest on the big chill.

Written by Rob Perillo

January 7th, 2010 at 7:07 pm

Posted in Cold, Weather

Arctic Express on the Way

leave a comment

Acadiana is still on track for the the coldest weather since early February 1996 with relatively mild temperatures and some patchy rain early Thursday yielding to drier air and plummeting readings tomorrow evening.  There should be no local travel problems Thursday as any residual moisture from the early rains will dry up and evaporate well before the colder temperatures arrive.  This arctic outbreak will likely keep our temperatures near or below freezing for most of Friday, Saturday and Sunday with just a few hours each day with temperatures above the freezing zone.  Highs Friday will be confined to the mid-upper 30s with limited sun by high clouds.  Saturday we’ll be no warmer than the mid-30s under full sun while sunshine continues for Sunday with only a modest warm-up into the low-mid 40s.  Overnight lows will be in the bitter upper teens to lower 20s Friday night and Saturday night with some nasty wind chills mixed in Thuursday and Friday nights.  Wind chills Friday morning will be in the upper teens while Saturday morning chills could be as low as the lower teens or even single digits.  There are no indications that there will be any travel problems associated with any precipitation with this arctic outbreak as any moisture on the ground will be evaporating with the wind and very dry air.  With that being said, roadways over water Saturday night into Sunday morning could accrete some ice if some “arctic sea smoke” develops…especially over the Atchafalaya Basin.  Arctic Sea Smoke is a condensation fog that develops over relatively warmer water when the air is very cold and still.  This is famous weather triple misnomer as in our case develops in Louisiana (not in the arctic), it’s not on the sea (in the swamp) and it’s not smoke-it’s a condensation cloud/fog.  It will likely make for some very interesting images come Sunday morning with light winds and daybreak temperatures in the teens…photo buffs this is your calling!  But dress warmly and be careful.

Written by Rob Perillo

January 6th, 2010 at 7:45 pm

Posted in Cold, Weather

Milder Mid-Week…Once in A Decade Arctic Blast Friday-Weekend

leave a comment

Surface Forecast Map for Thursday January 7 2009After a freezing and frosty Wednesday morning we’ll see a nice warm-up for Wednesday afternoon as mostly sunny skies works in concert with a developing southeasterly wind.  High and some mid-clouds will begin to invade late Wednesday with clouds thickening Wednesday night keeping our temperatures in the lower 40s.  A vigorous storm system in the Northern Rockies will race southeastward through the next 24 hours allowing for patchy light rain to develop for Thursday morning.  It appears that there will be little or no threat of any kind of wintry weather with this system as the precipitation should initiate below the freezing layer aloft.  The rain should be light in nature but more moderate rainfall rates may be possible through Thursday mid-morning.  The rain will depart the area well before the arctic air begins to settle in but do expect windy and much colder conditions to return for late Thursday night into Friday morning.  Temperatures should drop into the low-mid 20s for Friday morning while wind chills will likely drop into the teens.  Arctic air-masses are like molasses when the spill into the region and it appears that the coldest air will Surface Forecast Map for Thursday January 7 2009 part2arrive Friday night into Saturday.  This should put our lows Friday night/Saturday morning near 20 (plus or minus a few degrees) with wind chills likely in the lower teens or single digits for Saturday morning.  It will likely be even colder Saturday night/Sunday morning without any wind with lows likely to approach the mid-upper teens.  Daytime highs will stay in the 30s both Friday and Saturday and if high clouds linger on Friday we may not make it much above freezing Friday afternoon.  This could become quite problematic for frozen pipe issues as we will likely see a 72 hour period where only a few hours will be above freezing.  The good news is that the long range outlook calls for much milder weather the second into the third week of the month…hopefully this will be the coldest weather we see all winter!

Written by Rob Perillo

January 5th, 2010 at 7:23 pm

Posted in Cold, Weather

Cold (and getting colder) for First Week of the New Year

leave a comment

A cold front that will sweep across the area this New Year’s Eve will usher the mild weather away from Acadiana for at least the next week to 10 days.  Expect scattered light showers later this evening into the early morning hours following a moderately strong cold that will bring our temperatures down 15-20 degrees compared with a very mild last day of 2009.  Skies will clear by morning with blustery north winds expected Friday making it feel that much cooler.  Temperatures will drop close to or slightly below freezing starting late Friday night with chilly conditions likely to get a reinforcing shot of cold air early next week.   The models are showing a better shot arctic air possible later next week with the long range 12z GFS model guidance showing mid-20s for the low next Thursday night/Friday morning…we will go with that right now but this number will likely change.  The bottom line is that we will stay “winter-cold” through much of next week with a slight chance of some precipitation, perhaps icy weather, developing late Wednesday into Thursday of next week…so stay tuned!  Happy New Year!  Rob

Written by Rob Perillo

December 31st, 2009 at 7:16 pm

Posted in Cold, Weather